FUTURECASTS BOOKS

"Understanding the Economic Basics & Modern Capitalism: Market Mechanisms and Administered Alternatives"
by Dan Blatt - Publisher of FUTURECASTS online magazine.

Smith: Wealth of Nations.   Ricardo: Principles.
Marx: Capital (Das Kapital).   Keynes: General Theory.
Schumpeter: Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy.

 Understanding of economic successes and failures begins here - with a format that facilitates speed reading and scanning.

Table of Contents & Introduction

&

"Understanding the Great Depression & the Modern Business Cycle"
 by Dan Blatt - Publisher of FUTURECASTS online magazine.

AT LAST! An analysis of the fundamental causes of the Great Depression and the current business cycle without ideological clap trap, theory confirmation bias or political spin.

Table of Contents & Introduction

FUTURECASTS JOURNAL

Bernanke's Bubbles

China's Economic Prospects
with a review of McGregor, "The Party."

U.S.-China Power Relationship,
with reviews of Nye, "The Future of Power," and Walter and Howie, "Red Capitalism."

Lies, Damn Lies and Projections,

Industrial Policy Horror Story
with review of Morgenson & Rosner, "Reckless Endangerment."
Fannie Mae affordable housing policy

Schumpeter on Creative Destruction
 with review of Schumpeter,
"Can Capitalism Survive."

Bernanke's Failed Monetary Policy
with review of Taylor, "Getting off Track."
Taylor Monetary Policy Rule

The Gold Standard and the Great Depression
 with a review of Eichengreen,
"Golden Fetters."

The Financial Oligarchs
with a review of
Johnson & Kwak,
"13 Bankers."

Bruce R. Scott, "Capitalism, Origins and Evolution as System of Governance."

Part I, Concept of Capitalism.
Political Economy

Part II, Oligarchs and Stakeholders
 Issues of Political Economy

Schumpeter on Socialism
with review of socialism related parts of Schumpeter, "Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy."

Peter H. Schuck
"Why Government Fails So Often and How It Can Do Better."

Thomas Piketty
 "Capital in Twenty First Century."
Egalitarian Agenda

Islamic Immigration Into Europe,"
with a review of Christopher Caldwell, "Reflections on the Revolution in Europe."

Holding the Interest Rate Tiger by the Tail
with a review of James Grant, "The Forgotten Depression: 1921: The Crash that Cured Itself."

Financialization
with a review of John Kay, "Other People's Money"

Attacks on Constraints on Federal Powers,
with reviews of Breyer,  "Active Liberty," and "Making Our Constitution Work."

Philip E. Tetlock & Dan Gardner
"Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
."

 

MAGAZINE ARCHIVE CATEGORIES

Volumes 3-12

2001- 2010

Futurecasts

Great Depression Chronology

Economic Basics

Book Reviews

Foundations of Freedom

Authoritative Myths

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Publisher: Dan Blatt
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FUTURECASTS ARCHIVE
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Tomorrow's news today!

Futurecasts coverage

 

2010 Futurecasts review 

21st Century futurecast

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Middle East futurecast

Heedless government

Government by crisis

Congress: The Engine of Inflation


ECONOMIC BASICS

Knowledge is power!

Adam Smith,
"The Wealth of Nations"
(Economic Theory)

Part I,
Capitalist Market Mechanisms

 Part II,
Government Economic Policy.

David Ricardo, "Principles of Political Economy."
(Economic Theory)

Joshua Muravchik,
"
Heaven on Earth(History of Socialism)

Friedrich A. Hayak, 
 "
Road to Serfdom"
  (Socialism)

Karl Marx,
"Capital (Das Kapital)" vol. 1
(Communist Theory)

Part I,
Value Determined by an Abstract Labor Standard

Part II,
Contradictions Asserted in Capitalist Industrialization

Karl Marx,
"Capital (Das Kapital)"
vol. 2
(Communist Theory)

Part III,
The Circulation & Expansion of Capital 

Part IV,
 Criticism of Adam Smith

Karl Marx,
"Capital (Das Kapital)"
vol. 3
(Communist Theory)

Part V,
Profits

Part VI,
Interest, Rent, & Labor Use-Values

John Maynard Keynes, "The General Theory of Employment, Interest & Money."
(Economic Theory)

Part I,
Elements of the General Theory

Part II,
Interest Rates, Aggregate Demand, & the Business Cycle.

Martin Wolf, "Why Globalization Works."
( Market System Globalization)

Part I,
Globalization of Market Systems

Part II,
Criticism of Market Globalization

Friedman & Schwartz, "Monetary History of U.S., (1867-1960),"
Part I,
"Greenbacks & Gold (1867-1921)"

Friedman & Schwartz, "Monetary History of U.S. (1867-1960),"
Part II, "Roaring Twenties Boom - Great Depression Bust (1921-1933"

Friedman & Schwartz, "Monetary History of U.S. (1867-1960),"
Part III,
"Age of Chronic Inflation 
(1933-1960)
"

Meltzer, "History of the Federal Reserve."

Vol. 1 (1913-1951),
Part I, "The Search for Stability (1913-1923)"

Vol. 1 (1913-1951),
Part II, "The Engine of Deflation (1923-1933)"

Meltzer,
"History of the Federal Reserve."

Vol.  1 (1913-1951),
Part III, "The Engine of Inflation (1933-1951)"

Vol. 2 (1951-1986)
Part IV, Conflicting Objectives (1951-1960)

Meltzer,
"History of the Federal Reserve."

Vol. 2 (1951-1986)
Part V, Obsoleting the Business cycle (1961-1969)

Vol. 2 (1951-1986) 
Part VI, Nixon Devalues the Dollar, (1969 - 1973)

Meltzer,
"History of the Federal Reserve."

Vol. 2 (1951-1986)
Part VII, The Great Inflation (1973-1980)

Vol. 2 (1951-1986)
Part VIII, Volcker Imposes Monetary Austerity (1979-1986)

Landes,
"Wealth & Poverty of Nations"
(Economic Development)

 Scott, Part I,
"The Concept of Capitalism,"
(Political Economy)

Scott, Part II,
"The Concept of Capitalism"
(Political Economy Issues)

Schumpeter,
"Capitalism, Socialism & Democracy."

Part I
"Creative Destruction"

Part II
 Socialism

Piketty
 "Capital in Twenty First Century."
Egalitarian Agenda

   

FOUNDATIONS OF FREEDOM

"Because Men Are Not Angels!" J. Madison.

Monk, "The Words We Live By"
Annotated Guide to U.S. Constitution

Part I,
1789 Constitution of the United States

Part II,
Amendments to the Constitution of the United States

Bowen, "Miracle at Philadelphia"
The Constitutional Convention

Part I, 
"The Divisive Issues that Threatened the Union,

Part II,
 "The Compromises and Accommodations that Made the Nation."

Isaacson,
  "Benjamin Franklin"

Ellis, "His Excellency, George Washington"

McCullough,
  "John Adams"

Ellis,
 
"American Sphinx," Thomas Jefferson

Rakove,
 "James Madison,"

Tocqueville, "Democracy in America,"

BOOKS OF CONSEQUENCE
 BOOK REVIEWS

The most accurate, complete and uncompromising reviews of books on consequential subjects available anywhere!

20th Century History

History opens windows on the future!

David Kennedy,
"Freedom from Fear" (I) The Great Depression

David Kennedy,
"Freedom from Fear" (II) World War II

J. M. Roberts,
"Twentieth Century" 

Conquest,
"Reflections on Ravaged Century"

Gaddis,
"We Now Know: Rethinking Cold War History" (1945-1963)

Kotkin,
"Armageddon Averted: The Soviet Collapse" (1970-2000)

Meier, "Black Earth, A Journey Through Russia After the Fall."

Gaddis,
"The Cold War"

Kuklick, "Blind Oracles: Intellectuals & War from Kennan to Kissinger."

 MacMillan,
"Paris 1919" (I) Reordering of Europe.

MacMillan, "Paris, 1919" (II) Reordering of  Middle East & Far East. Treaty of Versailles

Keynes, 
"Consequences of the Peace."

Åslund, "How Capitalism Was Built"
Soviet bloc transformation

Samuelson,
"The Great Inflation and its Aftermath."

Allen,
"1931: The Year of the Great Worldwide Financial Crash."

Eichengreen,
Golden Fetters"
Gold standard impact on Great Depression

Grant
"The Forgotten Depression: 1921, The Crash that Cured Itself."

 

Economics

Porter, Takeuchi & Sakakibara,
"
Can Japan Compete?"

Shiller,
"Irrational Exuberance"

Enriquez,
"As the Future Catches You"

Chow,
"China's Economic Transformation."

De Soto,
"Mystery of Capital"

Krugman,
"
Return of Depression Economics"

Hendry & Ericsson, "Understanding Economic Forecasts."

Gordon, "The Business of America."
Economic History

 Reynolds, 
"The New Regionalism:
Economic Development

Cooper,
"Origin of Financial Crises
"

Baumol, Litan & Schramm,
"Good Capitalism, Bad Capitalism"

Åslund,
"How Capitalism Was Built"
Soviet bloc transformation

Tavakoli,
"Dear Mr. Buffett"
Credit Crunch elements

Samuelson,
"The Great Inflation and its Aftermath."

Lawrence,
"Blue Collar Blues, Is Trade to Blame for Rising Income Inequality"

Akerlof & Shiller "Animal Spirits,"

Scott,
"The Concept of Capitalism,"

Reinhart & Rogoff, "This Time Is Different"

Yarrow,
"
Forgive Us Our Debts"

 Bremmer,
"End of Free Market"

Morgenson & Rosner, 
"Reckless Endangerment"
Fannie Mae affordable housing policy

Taylor,
"Getting Off Track",
 
Taylor Monetary Policy Rule

Johnson & Kwak
"13 Bankers"
Financial Oligarchs

Kay,
"Other People's Money"
Financialization

Grant
"The Forgotten Depression: 1921, The Crash that Cured Itself."

   

Globalization

 O'Rourke & Williamson,
 "Globalization and History"

Backman,
  "Asian Eclipse"

Wallace, "The Future of Ethnicity, Race & Nationality," & Inkeles, "One World Converging."
Global Convergence

Garson,
"Money Makes the World Go Around"

James,
"End of Globalization"

Anderson,
"All Connected Now"

Irwin,
"Free Trade Under Fire"

Bhagwati,
"Free Trade Today"

Stiglitz, "Globalization and its Discontents"

 Bremmer,
"End of the Free Market"

Caldwell
Reflections on the Revolution in Euirope"
Islamic Immigration

Government

 Shleifer & Vishny,
"The Grabbing Hand"

Dror:
"Capacity to Govern"

Andrisani, Hakim & Leeds, "Making Government Work."

Lobel,
"
Presidential Judgment"

Levitt,
"
Take on the Street"

Chow,
"
Knowing China"

Olson,
"The Rule of Lawyers"

Posner,
"
Frontiers of Legal Theory, "

Brimelow,
"The Worm in the Apple"
(Education)

Calleo,
"Rethinking Europe's Future"

Mann & Ornstein
Congress: "The Broken Branch."

Schuck
"Why Government Fails So Often and How It Can Do Better."

Breyer, "Active Liberty," and "Making Our Constitution Work"
Federalism 

 

 

International Affairs & U.S. Foreign Policy

 

Nye,
"Paradox of American Power"

Nye, "Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics"

Mearsheimer,
"Tragedy of Great Power Politics"

Brzezinski,
"Geostrategic Triad"

Mead,
"
Special Providence"

Gaddis,
"
Surprise Security & the American Experience."

Chua,
"World on Fire"
(Ethnonationalist Hatred)

Boot:
"The Savage Wars of Peace"
(Military History)

Barnett,
"The Pentagon's New Map"
(Military Strategy)

Ferguson,
"Colossus"

Mead,
"God and Gold"

Robinson,
"Tell Me How This Ends
"

Halper,
"Beijing Consensus,"

 Bremmer,
"End of Free Market"

McGregor
"The Party,"
China's Economic Prospects

Nye,
"The Future of Power," Walter & Howie, "Red Capitalism"
U.S.-China Power Relationship,

   

 Health & Health Care

Gratzer,
"The Cure"

Richmond & Fine,
"
The Health Care Mess"

Porter & Teisberg,
"Redefining Health Care"

Willett, "Eat, Drink & be Healthy"

 

Katzen & Willett, "Eat, Drink &Weigh Less"

Futures Research

Armstrong:
"Principles of Forecasting."

Glenn & Gordon,
"State of the Future at the Millennium"

Duin, "Qualitative Futures Research for Innovation"

 

Hendry & Ericsson, "Understanding Economic Forecasts."

 

Miscellaneous

Theroux,
"Dark Star Safari"
 (Africa)

Guest, "The Shackled Continent."
 
(Africa)

Easterly,
"White Man's Burden
"
(Africa)

Posner,
"Public Intellectuals"
(Advocacy scholars)

Kotlikoff & Burns,
"The Coming Generational Storm"
(Demography)

Herman, Olivo, Gioia, "Impending Crisis"
(Management)

Harrison & Huntington,
"Culture Matters
"

 

Perry & Goldman, "Grassroots Political Reform in China."

THE DEBUNKING OF AUTHORITATIVE MYTHS

Great Depression Chronology

The most accurate, complete, and non ideological account of the facts of the Great Depression available anywhere!

Summaries of controversies and facts

The Crash of '29

Rebound from Crash of '29

Collapse of agriculture (1930) 

Debate begins (1931)

Collapse of international finance (1931)

Collapse of WW-I financial obligations (1932)

 

Collapse of governments (1932-1933)

Great Depression links

Authoritative Myths

Speak the truth, my son! Though the heavens fall from the sky, speak the truth!

20th century absurdities

Economic myths

Economic statistics

Profits and capitalist productivity

 Myths that have misguided policy

Modern advocacy scholars

25 year economic forecasts

Capital as purchasing power

Future economic myths

Observations in Czech Republic & Eastern Germany

Observations in  China

Understanding Inflation

Who Is To Blame?

Why Do They Hate Us?

Keynesian theory from Keynes to Krugman 

Administered Prices  & Health Care Entitlements

Moral Hazard & Conflicts of Interest in the Credit Crunch

Monetary Inflation and Business Cycle Volatility

Understanding the Credit Crunch

 

Our Government Directed Business Cycle